Legal AI research

Analysis, insights, and updates on legal AI evaluation, benchmarks, and research.

Can AI Predict How a Judge Will Rule? To Find Out We Tested 65 LLMs on Motions to Dismiss

Low accuracy on new rulings: Across 65 LLMs tested on motions to dismiss decided after model release dates, only 16% of predictions accurately matched the judges' rulings (and that number is probably too high).

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Image of computer in court room for article on AI accuracy predicting federal motions to dismiss Certera AI

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